I mean, to be fair, I think he's making light of something that is genuinely scaring him and upsetting him as a coping mechanism. I was going to ask where you guys were and if you were safe and, well, Glenn is where I lived when Andrew hit...
Fair, but it's also interfering with my coping mechanism: making the necessary preparations and subsequently not thinking about it more than I have to.
I leaned the way of "Does this really needs its own thread?" but I'm also not someone in the danger zone unlike, yannow, Yarr. A not my place thing, even if it did kind of bother me.
I'm sorry, I'm looking at forecast maps and if I were to fret over them I'd either be losing my mind or at the very least trying to take cold comfort in whether I will or won't get the very special experience of being in the eye of a hurricane flanked by towering clouds and maximum-strength eyewall winds.
I mean, the question doesn't seem to be "are we fucked?", but "how fucked will we be?". Its center is headed DIRECTLY over the three major metro counties of southeast Florida, and it is just Not Budging At All, as far as forecasts and computer model projections have been suggesting. Yes, I'm in one of these three major metro counties. No prizes for guessing that one.
I don't even know if we'll be evacuating the building I'm in. I don't know if the storm windows will blow out, or in for that matter. I haven't even started securing the indoor random crap around here. Next thing I'll be doing actually is to gather my valuables and put them somewhere safe.
And then probably spend all of Sunday inside a bathroom. Assuming the building doesn't fall down. If it does, well, these are probably my last few posts here, and everything else doesn't really matter anymore. (To be fair, this is a concrete building, and by far we won't be the only ones with plans to shelter in place here.)
I don't know where you are in the area, but I hope you stay safe.
I'm also thinking of the other places we might have moved. Two would be in high-rises on a barrier island or east of US1, both of which are now evacuation zones. One of which is further inland than that, though not as far inland as we are now, and that would have had us in a low-rise but our cars would be in a sunken garage surrounded by above-grade land, just 4 ft above mean sea level. Right now, we're in near the western edge of development, about 6 to 9 feet above MSL. We almost bought another thing nearby where we'd be on the second-floor of a low-rise, which would be good for dealing with wind, but our cars would be on the first floor garage, and apparently that neighborhood can flood easily due to poor drainage.
Right now our cars are on a non-first-floor garage and on the open-air deck, so we aren't directly concerned about flooding (and we have enough food to last a while, and even a butane stove), but we're also on a high floor and winds are speedier at higher elevations.
Our storm windows are expected to withstand winds of up to 150 mph, according to another owner here, but sustained winds are expected to be bewteen 130 and 156 mph, with gusts going higher. It'll be a crapshoot.
Oh, they're turning off the AC and hot water systems when the wind gets to 45+ mph.
So this is basically gonna start Friday or Saturday, and last 'til Monday, because this storm is just so damn BIG.
I leaned the way of "Does this really needs its own thread?" but I'm also not someone in the danger zone unlike, yannow, Yarr. A not my place thing, even if it did kind of bother me.
To be fair, you were previously, and I'm thankful that you're fine.
That means we can expect hurricane-force winds starting relatively early on Saturday. The staff here are gonna start turning off the AC and hot water boilers then, or earlier. After that, electricity and water will continue to be served until disruption by storm effects, if any.
Some 36 hours of tropical storm force winds are expected, due to the size of the storm.
It all feels kinda surreal, honestly. Which isn't helped by just how gorgeous yesterday and today are, as far as weather goes, but that's how strong storms are preceded.
I actually moved to Florida in 1993, after Andrew hit in 1992, and left in 2004, before Wilma hit. During that time, I was in one major hurricane but it didn't do much in the way of wind but rather left just a ton of rain and flooding that nearly came up to the edge of our house.
Moved back to Florida not too long ago, and Matthew was headed for us last year but at the last moment turned eastward and spared us a direct hit. We put up the shutters and everything too.
But this time...this time, it appears to be very much for real.
Here's to hoping I get my True Floridian badge.
At least, if this building stays up, I'll get to see how the landscape around us is different afterwards.
Storm track projections have shifted westward, meaning that the center of the storm will likely ride up the middle of the state, sparing us the absolute worst eyewall winds, but we'll probably still be hit by >100 mph sustained winds, with guts going higher, so mentally preparing for 150 mph is probably still a good idea. Meanwhile, this means it was probably not a great idea to go stay with our friends in Tampa instead (an offer we didn't take up, not to mention that traffic is probably absolutely horrible now -- some other friends took ten hours to get to Gainesville).
Also my apologies to Yarrun for making a thread about this when he seems to not want to think more about it...
but, i dunno, i feel like being able to sorta semi-liveblog about this helps relieve the stress a bit, and in case anyone wants to find out about what happened to me i might be able to leave some crumbs here
It's alright. I've been learning to cope with the omnipresence of doom. Mother's a lot less pessimistic than the internet, and she actually remembers Andrew, so that's been helping.
If it's going up the middle of the state, then I have even less to worry about. Hope the northern cities are fine though. Got people up there, and people who have people up there.
Startin' to get here. Gusts enough to mildly rattle my heavy impact-glass sliding door, along with rain flying in all directions.
Anyway, Broward County is predicted to get sustained tropical-storm-winds and gusts of hurricane-speed winds, lasting basically all of Sunday (now today).
There was a tornado warning earlier. Actually there were a bunch of small tornado warnings earlier, each lasting about twenty minutes, as thunderstorming rain bands swept across, but they were later replaced by a big tornado warning that just covered all of south Florida until midnight.
Where I'm at, the internet's out, so I have to rely on mobile tethering to get it for a computer, but the power and AC and water are still on.
...i would very much like to see Rayne flying in all directions
Survived. House is virtually undamaged. Neighborhood is a wreck though, and power is out. It's mostly trees. Relatively little rain but hella wind.
Send well wishes, but mostly to everyone else. According to the radio and the rest of the neighborhood, we got pretty damn lucky compared to the rest of the state.
I'll update when I can. Need to conserve phone power, and T-mobile isn't too strong right now anyhow.
Thanks for worrying about me. Quick update now that net is back:
1. net went out, and we were depending on net for phone so phone was also out.
2. Ironically, I think my first hurricane (which might have been 1999's Irene, not to be confused with 2011's Hurricane/Tropical Storm Irene, which I also experienced, albeit in New England, lol) was much rain and not much wind. This time it wasn't much rain but lots of wind.
3. Here in the southeastern part of the state, we basically just got hit with a tropical storm or cat 1 hurricane. We had everything but net so everything's fine here. Nearby neighborhoods noticeably had transformers shorting out. Lots of plant debris on the roads -- and also lots of seeds, so you can tell how these clever things have evolved to hedge their bets in the case of a hurricane or other large-scale wind disturbance.
4. Due to lack of TV and internet access for the past few days I don't yet know the extent of the damage in other parts of the state. From what little I've heard, the Keys at the southern end of the state were hit hard (the eye made landfall, as a cat 5 hurricane, at Cudjoe Key), with parts of the bridges being washed out. Second landfall also happened at Marco Island in the southwest corner of the state, and the hurricane proceeded to Naples and Fort Myers nearby (along I-75 basically). Tampa (in the middle of the state's west coast) was apparently spared a direct hit. Jacksonville (in the northeastern corner of the state) experienced record flooding, but this was partly due to them having a Nor'easter storm (or what remained of it) right before Irma hit, which caused the water of the St. Johns river to be washed outward and then rush back in, I think, and Jacksonville is apparently built right along its banks.
keep in mind we're lucky compared to some other folks.
even here in southeast florida there were parts that were inundated. e.g. a major street known as Brickell Avenue, in Miami, due to storm surge.
nearby neighborhoods around here, in the western part of broward county, experienced some minor flooding but it receded within a day, because we're at a higher elevation.
Comments
I was always more fond of the Gallardo but that's just me
This means that we should expect to have Adorable Little Thing force winds within 48 hours.
Adorable Little Thing force winds are 75 miles per hour and above.
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
I think there really does need to be a balance with stuff like this, but I don't know what that is.
I mean, the question doesn't seem to be "are we fucked?", but "how fucked will we be?". Its center is headed DIRECTLY over the three major metro counties of southeast Florida, and it is just Not Budging At All, as far as forecasts and computer model projections have been suggesting. Yes, I'm in one of these three major metro counties. No prizes for guessing that one.
I don't even know if we'll be evacuating the building I'm in. I don't know if the storm windows will blow out, or in for that matter. I haven't even started securing the indoor random crap around here. Next thing I'll be doing actually is to gather my valuables and put them somewhere safe.
And then probably spend all of Sunday inside a bathroom. Assuming the building doesn't fall down. If it does, well, these are probably my last few posts here, and everything else doesn't really matter anymore. (To be fair, this is a concrete building, and by far we won't be the only ones with plans to shelter in place here.)
I don't know where you are in the area, but I hope you stay safe.
I'm also thinking of the other places we might have moved. Two would be in high-rises on a barrier island or east of US1, both of which are now evacuation zones. One of which is further inland than that, though not as far inland as we are now, and that would have had us in a low-rise but our cars would be in a sunken garage surrounded by above-grade land, just 4 ft above mean sea level. Right now, we're in near the western edge of development, about 6 to 9 feet above MSL. We almost bought another thing nearby where we'd be on the second-floor of a low-rise, which would be good for dealing with wind, but our cars would be on the first floor garage, and apparently that neighborhood can flood easily due to poor drainage.
Right now our cars are on a non-first-floor garage and on the open-air deck, so we aren't directly concerned about flooding (and we have enough food to last a while, and even a butane stove), but we're also on a high floor and winds are speedier at higher elevations.
Our storm windows are expected to withstand winds of up to 150 mph, according to another owner here, but sustained winds are expected to be bewteen 130 and 156 mph, with gusts going higher. It'll be a crapshoot.
Oh, they're turning off the AC and hot water systems when the wind gets to 45+ mph.
So this is basically gonna start Friday or Saturday, and last 'til Monday, because this storm is just so damn BIG.
I should probably give Serocco a holler.
☭ B̤̺͍̰͕̺̠̕u҉̖͙̝̮͕̲ͅm̟̼̦̠̹̙p͡s̹͖ ̻T́h̗̫͈̙̩r̮e̴̩̺̖̠̭̜ͅa̛̪̟͍̣͎͖̺d͉̦͠s͕̞͚̲͍ ̲̬̹̤Y̻̤̱o̭͠u̥͉̥̜͡ ̴̥̪D̳̲̳̤o̴͙̘͓̤̟̗͇n̰̗̞̼̳͙͖͢'҉͖t̳͓̣͍̗̰ ͉W̝̳͓̼͜a̗͉̳͖̘̮n͕ͅt͚̟͚ ̸̺T̜̖̖̺͎̱ͅo̭̪̰̼̥̜ ̼͍̟̝R̝̹̮̭ͅͅe̡̗͇a͍̘̤͉͘d̼̜ ⚢
OH THIS IS A THREAD ABOUT A HURRICANE WTF
For a couple minutes I thought this thread was seriously about the cat thing GMH posted
Okay nevermind, carry on
Stay safe, Glenn. Don't die.
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
The problem with "moving to higher ground" in south Florida is that "higher ground" means "maybe two to five feet higher".
To be fair, that also means two to five (or more) miles inland.
The exceptions are the landfills. For example, Mount Trashmore.
That means we can expect hurricane-force winds starting relatively early on Saturday. The staff here are gonna start turning off the AC and hot water boilers then, or earlier. After that, electricity and water will continue to be served until disruption by storm effects, if any.
Some 36 hours of tropical storm force winds are expected, due to the size of the storm.
It all feels kinda surreal, honestly. Which isn't helped by just how gorgeous yesterday and today are, as far as weather goes, but that's how strong storms are preceded.
I actually moved to Florida in 1993, after Andrew hit in 1992, and left in 2004, before Wilma hit. During that time, I was in one major hurricane but it didn't do much in the way of wind but rather left just a ton of rain and flooding that nearly came up to the edge of our house.
Moved back to Florida not too long ago, and Matthew was headed for us last year but at the last moment turned eastward and spared us a direct hit. We put up the shutters and everything too.
But this time...this time, it appears to be very much for real.
Here's to hoping I get my True Floridian badge.
At least, if this building stays up, I'll get to see how the landscape around us is different afterwards.
And who knows if it'll wobble.
but, i dunno, i feel like being able to sorta semi-liveblog about this helps relieve the stress a bit, and in case anyone wants to find out about what happened to me i might be able to leave some crumbs here
also, Yarrun, I hope you are and stay safe.
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
Use a crystal flash if you have to
Anyway, Broward County is predicted to get sustained tropical-storm-winds and gusts of hurricane-speed winds, lasting basically all of Sunday (now today).
There was a tornado warning earlier. Actually there were a bunch of small tornado warnings earlier, each lasting about twenty minutes, as thunderstorming rain bands swept across, but they were later replaced by a big tornado warning that just covered all of south Florida until midnight.
Where I'm at, the internet's out, so I have to rely on mobile tethering to get it for a computer, but the power and AC and water are still on.
...i would very much like to see Rayne flying in all directions
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
Send well wishes, but mostly to everyone else. According to the radio and the rest of the neighborhood, we got pretty damn lucky compared to the rest of the state.
I'll update when I can. Need to conserve phone power, and T-mobile isn't too strong right now anyhow.
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
WHAT OF GLENN
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
From my vague understanding of where he is, he might be in the 'boil your drinking water, for the love of god' zone.
Assassin poems, Poems that shoot
guns. Poems that wrestle cops into alleys
and take their weapons leaving them dead
1. net went out, and we were depending on net for phone so phone was also out.
2. Ironically, I think my first hurricane (which might have been 1999's Irene, not to be confused with 2011's Hurricane/Tropical Storm Irene, which I also experienced, albeit in New England, lol) was much rain and not much wind. This time it wasn't much rain but lots of wind.
3. Here in the southeastern part of the state, we basically just got hit with a tropical storm or cat 1 hurricane. We had everything but net so everything's fine here. Nearby neighborhoods noticeably had transformers shorting out. Lots of plant debris on the roads -- and also lots of seeds, so you can tell how these clever things have evolved to hedge their bets in the case of a hurricane or other large-scale wind disturbance.
4. Due to lack of TV and internet access for the past few days I don't yet know the extent of the damage in other parts of the state. From what little I've heard, the Keys at the southern end of the state were hit hard (the eye made landfall, as a cat 5 hurricane, at Cudjoe Key), with parts of the bridges being washed out. Second landfall also happened at Marco Island in the southwest corner of the state, and the hurricane proceeded to Naples and Fort Myers nearby (along I-75 basically). Tampa (in the middle of the state's west coast) was apparently spared a direct hit. Jacksonville (in the northeastern corner of the state) experienced record flooding, but this was partly due to them having a Nor'easter storm (or what remained of it) right before Irma hit, which caused the water of the St. Johns river to be washed outward and then rush back in, I think, and Jacksonville is apparently built right along its banks.
*hugs back*
keep in mind we're lucky compared to some other folks.
even here in southeast florida there were parts that were inundated. e.g. a major street known as Brickell Avenue, in Miami, due to storm surge.
nearby neighborhoods around here, in the western part of broward county, experienced some minor flooding but it receded within a day, because we're at a higher elevation.